2021 Hurricane Season – Are You Ready!
EXPECT A BUSY SEASON!! https://bingerfinancial.com/home-insurance/
Get ready for another busy hurricane season in 2021.
The first major forecast of the season calls for 17 named storms, eight
hurricanes and four major hurricanes, according to Colorado State
University research scientist Phil Klotzbach, one of the world’s top
hurricane forecasters.
It is the sixth year in a row that what forecasters call an above-average
season has been predicted for the Atlantic. The 30-year average is 12
named storms and six hurricanes.
This year there is a 69 percent chance that a major hurricane will make
landfall in the U.S., according to the Colorado State University forecast.
There is a 45 percent chance one could strike Florida or the east coast, and
a 44 percent of landfall anywhere from the Florida Panhandle to Texas
along the Gulf Coast.
Hurricane season starts June 1, peaks in September and ends Nov. 30. But
in recent years storms have formed before and after that traditional
window.
Klotzbach announced Colorado State University’s annual forecast during an
online presentation Thursday. The forecast is not as intense as what the
Atlantic experienced during the historic 2020 storm season — when
scientists’ prediction of an “extremely active” season proved
catastrophically true — but is worrisome for regions still recovering from
last year’s rapid barrage of storms.
He said the same factors in play last year will influence this coming storm
season: warmer subtropical Atlantic waters and
the absence of El Niño will make conditions favorable for storm
development.
“Hurricanes live off of warm ocean water,” he said, “so more warm ocean
water means more fuel for the hurricanes.”
El Niño is a Pacific phenomenon that warms the waters there, creating
strong wind shear over the tropical Atlantic which can disrupt storm
formation. Its opposing weather pattern is La Niña, which is caused by
cooler waters in the central and eastern Pacific and in turn significantly
limits Atlantic wind shear.
The absence of El Niño and the appearance of La Niña improves the
chances of Atlantic hurricane formation and intensification. An active La
Niña is largely blamed for the hyperactive end to the 2020 storm season,
when two Category 5 hurricanes formed in November.
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2021 Hurricane Season – Are You Ready!